3C Modelling - Degree of fit: 1990 classes in 2050 climate


In order to assist end-users to synthesize the findings of the 3C modelling, we partially undertook the task of combining benefits mapping, based on simple rules. However there are many potential aggregations and no single correct way to do it, so if necessary end-users are encouraged to download the raw model outputs and undertake fit-for-purpose aggregations of their own. That being the case, the examples presented here may be a guide as to the possibilities. 

This map/data shows the predicted ‘degree of fit’ of 1990 bio-climatic classes to 2050 areas based on the 3CMP model that considers bio-climatic suitability, landscape impacts on migration ability and ongoing viability. Dark areas indicate areas where the capacity (vegetation condition) to support biodiversity is not realised in 2050 with 1990 derived bioclimatic classes, that are either unsuited, are unable to reach these areas, or are insufficient in size to be viable, despite having good condition. According to the 3CMP model, these areas would either support novel classes or would de-grade to a diminished condition.

Models and map production by OEH NSW; GDM compositional turnover modelling by CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, with funding from the Australian government.


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Detailed Descriptions
Dataset
Geographic and Temporal Extents
Start Start text End End text
Attributions and Constraints
Attribution (CC BY)
New South Wales
NSW Office of Environment and Heritage; The University of Queensland; University of Southern Queensland; Global Change Institute; CSIRO
Drielsma M, Manion G, Love J, Williams K, Harwood T, (2014) THE 3C BIODIVERSITY AND CLIMATE ASSESSMENT, NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT CLIMATE ADAPTATION TO 2050
Jamie Love jamie.love@environment.nsw.gov.au NSW Office of Environment and Heritage
2014/12/01