This report presents projections of future climate for the East Coast NRM Cluster based on our current understanding of the climate system, historical trends and model simulations of the climate response to changing greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions. The simulated climate response is that of the CMIP5 climate model archive, which also underpins the science of the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2013).
The report aims to assist regional decision-makers in understanding the important messages deduced from climate change projection modelling. It presents a range of emissions scenarios across multiple variables and years.
This report is part of a suite of Climate Change in Australia (CCIA) products prepared with support from the Australian Government’s Regional Natural Resource Management Planning for Climate Change Fund. These products provide information on climate change projections and their application.