This report explores the economic modelling of carbon farming projects and compares spatial patterns of carbon potential across the Murray-Darling Basin for both current and future climate. Its finds thatc
Profitability for Carbon farming projects is dependent on the carbon market and the relative suitability of land for other more profitable farming practises.
Establishment costs of $1000/ha and a discount rate of 10% would allow profits in the Murray Basin NRM Cluster, given a $20/t CO2-e carbon price.
If establishment costs were $3000/ha and the discount rate was 10%, carbon farming profitability would be challenging in the Murray Basin.
Highest carbon sequestration potential is in the southern and eastern sides of the Murray Basin and the lowest is in the northern and western regions.
The main driver for spatial patterns of carbon sequestration is the average rainfall pattern.
DELWP forest growth model results show that carbon sequestration rates could increase in a warmer climate.
There are risks to carbon farming related to the likely increased frequency of hot extremes.
A planning checklist for carbon farming has been included in this report to help farmers in their risk assessments.